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September 25, 2017

afghanistan intelligence

Intelligence assessments do not mandate policies, but are used by policymakers like Biden and his senior officials when making choices about policy. This book is the result of Terrence’s time spent alone in his hutch, socializing with fellow Americans in a confined environment, the close professional relationships developed with his Afghan hosts, and instructing the Afghans who ... But very seldom any action is taken on the ground. This book highlights the operational mechanism, reform packages, and failures of intelligence agencies in India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Afghanistan. Intelligence officers of the previous government of Afghanistan under Ashraf Ghani are now affiliating with the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria-Khorasan branch (ISIS-K) in order to survive and resist the Taliban, citing Wall Street Journal's report, Khaama Press stated. And what does it mean in the future for how we think about how we use our own forces?” she said. Predicting the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan: The Intelligence Community's Record. Why is Trump undermining his administration's historic China policies? In addition, Afghanistan's difficult geography has made it impossible to establish a sustainable supply chain and has made it difficult for US intelligence personnel to communicate regularly with the news network. © 1998-2021 Nexstar Media Inc. By all these gauges, intelligence on Afghanistan appears to have been catastrophically deficient, even though the US had a military and civilian presence on the ground in the country for the best part of 20 years. “The Taliban is likely to make gains on the battlefield, and the Afghan Government will struggle to hold the Taliban at bay if the coalition withdraws support,” Haines wrote in her testimony to the House Intelligence Committee. To monitor this threat, Washington should re-posture its intelligence assets in the region. Of the many implications of ending a 20-year war in Afghanistan, there's one that U.S. spies believe could haunt Americans for years to come: a massively deteriorated intelligence . David Priess, who served as a CIA analyst in the administrations of Bill Clinton and George W. Bush, writes that to make this judgment, we need answers to many questions. Mr. MacEachin was an officer-in-residence at Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of Government, from 1995 to 1997, subsequently becoming a senior at the Kennedy School. Problems and disagreements between the Afghan government and its international allies have impeded progress. Biden on Monday stood by his decision to withdraw U.S. forces from Afghanistan . Their choices were shaped by the decisions – or the anticipated decisions – of those around them. The "WikiLeaks" case drives home the need for what this book lays out: an approach to protecting classified information that goes beyond law enforcement. The U.S. Intelligence Community assessed Afghanistan's fortunes according to various scenarios and conditions and depending on the multiple policy alternatives from which the president could choose. “There was nothing that I or anyone else saw that indicated a collapse of this army and this government in 11 days,” Milley told reporters during a Pentagon briefing. The main job of intelligence is to keep decision makers informed. The collapse has been embarrassing to the White House, particularly since Biden on July 8 told the country that it would not see scenes echoing the U.S. retreat from Saigon in 1975 and that a Taliban takeover was “highly unlikely.”. I don’t think anyone thought there would be practically zero resistance from Afghan national security forces,” said Emily Harding, who previously served as deputy staff director for the Senate Intelligence Committee. Any inquiry should look closely at the role intelligence played in Afghanistan decisions over the last two decades. Copyright © 2021. And the traditional tools of intelligence gathering and assessment are rarely useful for understanding large-scale social movements or dynamics, especially when these are accelerated by conflict. around the world. By Arthur Cyr Aug 18, 2021, 2:00pm MDT. Foreign Policy spoke with Rahmatullah Nabil, the former head of Afghanistan's intelligence agency, the National Directorate of Security (NDS), about the challenges facing the country. Citing Wall Street Journal's report, Khaama Press stated that it is indicated that members of the intelligence body of the previous government in Afghanistan are now affiliating with ISIS-K in order to survive . Don't Ignore the CIA's Intelligence Failure on Afghanistan. A must-read political newsletter that breaks news and catches you up on what is happening. The Secret US Government Narcotics Program to deprive Insurgents of their finances. The National Directorate of Security was founded as the primary domestic and foreign intelligence agency of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan in 2002, and is considered the successor to KHAD, which was the previous intelligence organization before the Afghan Civil War (1992-2001).The CIA was responsible for assisting the Afghan government to establish the NDS. Intelligence Reports From Afghanistan Missed One Key Element: Speed U.S. officials are conflicted over whether intelligence failures may have contributed to the swift Taliban takeover of Afghanistan In many ways, it seems unfair to call what happened in Kabul an intelligence failure. The automatic qualifiers for the Super 12 stage of the ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2022 have been confirmed, following West Indies' loss to Australia in their final match of this year's edition. Business has been called on to be a key player in an intriguing, new and more contestable approach to intelligence gathering and analysis. Nick Rife and Josh Brown. Updated Date: NIMS allows military units across Afghanistan to share real-time intelligence and provides decision makers the ability to make informed and time-sensi-tive decisions. An official inquiry should answer much wider questions. The US intelligence community budget for 2020 was $85 billion. Prior to 2001, Afghanistan was an extremely poor, landlocked, and foreign aid-dependent country. U.S. Army Soldier assigned to 1st Battalion, 27th Infantry Regiment "Wolfhounds," 2nd Infantry Brigade Combat Team, 25th Infantry Division, fires an M240L machine gun at the support-by-fire position during a combined arms live-fire exercise at Schofield Barracks, Hawaii, August 3 . WASHINGTON — Intelligence reports presented to President Biden in the final days before the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan this past week failed to predict the imminence of the Afghan . Quite a lot. Bryan Dean Wright says that intelligence and military leaders are now being looked at as a 'national disgrace' #FoxNews Subscribe to Fox News! You can also sign up to receive our other newsletters: Most Popular - Easy to read, daily digest of the news from The Hill and around the world, The Hill's must read political newsletter that breaks news and catches you up on what happened in the morning and what to look for after lunch. "This is an intelligence failure," Rep. Jackie Speier, D-Calif., told NBC News on Aug. 15—just after the network's chief foreign correspondent, Richard Engel, tweeted . In this image provided by the US Army, a paratrooper assigned to B Company, 2nd Battalion, 501st Parachute, Infantry Regiment, 1st Brigade Combat Team, 82nd Airborne Division conducts security at Hamid Karzai International Airport in Kabul, Afghanistan, Aug. 28, 2021. The U.S. intelligence mission in Afghanistan needs to adapt to new realities. During a 7-minute interview today I was asked whether a lack of good intelligence accounts for the surprisingly rapid Taliban takeover in Afghanistan. Listen to the episode. Khadamat-e Aetla'at-e Dawlati (Pashto/Dari: خدمات اطلاعات دولتی ‎ literally "State Intelligence Agency", also known as "State Information Services" or "Committee of State Security". Afghanistan's fall is far different. Director of National Intelligence Avril HainesAvril HainesThe Hill's Morning Report — Presented by ExxonMobil — House sprints for Build Back Better, infrastructure votes today Overnight Defense & National Security — Afghanistan concerns center stage with G-20 CIA chief team member reported 'Havana syndrome' symptoms during trip to India: report MORE, who has a very close relationship with Biden, warned that the Afghan government would be challenged to hold off the Taliban in the absence of U.S. support before the annual worldwide threats hearing in April. On Friday, August 13, 2010, just as St. Martin's Press was readying its initial shipment of this book, the Department of Defense contacted us to express its concern that our publication of Operation Dark Heart could cause damage to U.S. ... Katrina Mulligan, who has held national security roles at the National Security Council and the Department of Justice, said lawmakers should be asking bigger picture questions, not about intelligence, but how the U.S. uses the military. This report critically examines the relevance of the U.S. intelligence community to the counterinsurgency strategy in Afghanistan. The Taliban's rapid takeover of Afghanistan is prompting a debate about whether a U.S. intelligence failure was to blame . The Taliban's rapid conquest of Afghanistan following President Joe Biden's order to withdraw US forces is a strategic disaster . These postscripts tell the story behind the stories that millions of readers have come to know and cherish. As per the report, the former . Intelligence and special operations will be important going forward. Sen. Bob MenendezRobert (Bob) MenendezRepublicans raise concerns over Biden's nominee for ambassador to Germany Biden sets off high-stakes scramble over spending framework Why is Trump undermining his administration's historic China policies? Aiming to be more comprehensive than existing books, and to achieve truly international coverage of the field, this book provides key readings and supporting material for students and course convenors. “This is a consistent problem. All Rights Reserved. "This paper ... critically examines the relevance of the U.S. intelligence community to counterinsurgency strategy in Afghanistan. And, given the special intelligence relationship between the US and the UK this failure reflects badly on the UK as well - both on . Lowy Institute. CIA-RDP79RO1012AO04400030001-1 OUTLOOK FOR AFGHANISTAN THE PROBLEM To estimate probable. Those opposed to the withdrawal had little incentive to help ensure that it was orderly. This is a sound strategy and the additional forces will certainly help improve the situation in Afghanistan. 18 months? Nabil left . One of the . Don't ignore the CIA's intelligence failure on Afghanistan. I used the opportunity to ring some intelligence-related changes on what Aeschylus wrote so long ago: "In war, truth is the first casualty." When U.S. forces are engaged in war independent intelligence … Continue reading "Ray McGovern on Exit . This book is not a philosophical discussion of military ethics; nor is it a study of operations alone. “How did we get nation-building so wrong? So, was it 30 days from withdrawal to collapse? Lowy Institute, US President Joe Biden addresses the Intelligence Community workforce on a tour at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Virginia, 27 July (Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images). Of all the players over the years, the Intelligence Community by far has seen the situation in Afghanistan most accurately." Perhaps. Yet there are limits to what even the best intelligence services in the world can do. Banks can and should step up to fill the void these sources will create. Post-Afghanistan intelligence and geopolitics. What they wanted was to make an event where they would invade Afghanistan, but their mission failed miserably. At least 19 people were killed on Tuesday in the attack claimed by the Taliban's hardline rivals, the Islamic State-Khorasan (IS-K), on Kabul's main military hospital. Col. Loren G. Traugutt, U.S. Army, is the dep-uty director for the Intelligence Train, Advise, Assist Directorate on the combined joint intelligence staff, Resolute Support mis- "This is an intelligence failure," Rep. Jackie Speier, D-Calif., told NBC News on Aug. 15—just after the network's chief foreign correspondent, Richard Engel, tweeted . Amid the broader debate over the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, policymakers should remain focused on one crucial fact: terrorist groups in Afghanistan now have greater freedom to operate. According to Anadolu Agency, the group claimed a massive suicide bombing in Kandahar, besides orchestrating targeted killings in Nangarhar and Parwan provinces as well as a massive suicide bombing in a Shia community mosque in the northern Kunduz province, killing more than 100 people. Afghanistan 'intelligence failure' debate begins as Taliban takes Kabul. An official inquiry should answer much wider questions about the US mission than only those of the final few weeks. Afghanistan: Intelligence services warned me I was on Taliban hit list, says escapee. This includes the human intelligence sources that provide necessary and meaningful information. A top Republican lawmaker is demanding that the Biden administration share with Congress recent intelligence reports and diplomatic cables about Afghanistan in the run-up to the withdrawal of U.S . The Hill 1625 K Street, NW Suite 900 Washington DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 tel | 202-628-8503 fax. The ANA is shrinking by the day. Musa Khan Jalalzai focuses primarily on the ANA's ability to carry out the task it has been assigned: 'ensuring security in Afghanistan. Virginia loss lays bare Democrats' struggle with rural voters, After victory, Biden seeks political rebound, Sunday shows preview: House passes bipartisan infrastructure bill; Democrats suffer election loss in Virginia, Overnight Defense & National Security — Washington gathers for Colin Powell's funeral, Son gives emotional tribute to Colin Powell at service, Biden, ex-presidents gather for Colin Powell's funeral, Republicans raise concerns over Biden's nominee for ambassador to Germany, Biden sets off high-stakes scramble over spending framework. Takedown is a gripping narrative of tracking terrorism during what may be the most exhilarating but trying times the American intelligence community has ever experienced. Ex-Saudi Intelligence Head Weighs In on Afghanistan Prince Turki al-Faisal reflects on the return of the Taliban and his role in decades of warfare, in an exclusive interview with New Lines. And when a conflict reaches a tipping point like this, other things change. The Secret War in Afghanistan undertakes a full analysis of recently declassified intelligence archives in order to asses Anglo-American secret intelligence and diplomacy relating to the invasion of Afghanistan and unveil the Cold War ... Afghanistan has been witnessing a spike in targeted assassinations and bomb blasts. Afghanistan - Looking Forward. “The real question here isn’t why did intelligence get it wrong, it's really, what were the assumptions that policymakers were making when they made the decisions that they made?” she said. Harding said on-the-ground intelligence can conflict with what other analysts are hearing — something Congress may want to probe. As per Khaama Press, the WSJ report further reads that the former Afghan spies are joining ISIS-K to resume their income as they have been left broke after the government collapse and also to fight the Taliban. Some experts have also noted that it would have been difficult for intelligence officials to measure the will of the Afghan military to fight. From the fall of Afghanistan, to at least two wars Israel unintentionally fought with Hamas, to 9/11, to Pearl Harbor and other events, certain patterns emerge regarding mega-intelligence failures.

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